2016.8.11外汇晚盘

2016-08-11

自上周英国央行近六年来下调25个基点的直接影响英镑开启下跌模式，之后英镑虽然在前期密集买盘区的1.2950找到些微支撑，但整体反弹并不强劲，英镑昨日晚间在面临上方1.3100冲高受阻再次快速回落，早间英镑略作短暂的横盘修正后无奈再次遭遇市场空军的狙击，最低一度触及到1.2936，结合昨日晚间和日内的走势来看，英镑大势偏空，结构上看英镑已经构成系统性的下跌风险，后市能否再次反弹走高还有待基本面的强有力支撑和配合，谨慎参与反弹。技术面看英镑目前经过连续性的下挫后目前价格已经回归到下方支撑的最后一道防线1.2880一带，短线来看英镑存在超跌反弹的技术修正需求，建议关注区间1.2880-1.3100.

相比英镑的跌跌不休，欧元近两天的走势明显整体表现的更为给力，欧元昨日一波顺势冲高后在上方压制较为明显的1.12一带冲高回落，早间欧元略作反弹后再次面临强大的压力拐头下行，结合昨日晚间和日内走势来看，欧元整体反弹势头有趋弱的迹象，技术面看欧元依然维持在下跌趋势的行情之中，短线上方还存在较多的压制，后市能否继续反弹走高还需继续观察，日内关注区间1.1050-1.1190，侧重高空，止损1.1225.

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