5月29日金域亞洲午评：黄金企稳上扬，动力有待加强

2015-05-29

基本面分析：

国际金价昨日冲高回落至1180附近后再次企稳上扬，空头打压有所放缓提振黄金低位买盘，重新回升至1190附近后多空维持平衡，但进一步的突破面临阻力；美元指数自97.60回落至97关口附近整理，波幅有所收窄。昨日美国公布的经济数据好坏参半，初请失业金人数出现上升但成屋销售继续增长反映出美国经济在一季度陷入低迷后已开始出现回稳，二季度经济有望恢复向好势头。

美联储多位官员相聚发表讲话，威廉姆斯在讲话中强调了年内将启动加息并逐步引导利率回归至正常水平，全年GDP增速在2%应视为合理水平，而布拉德则表示长期通胀将继续上升，失业率则有望进一步下降，从而为联储调整利率创造较好条件。整体看美联储内部对于年内加息的呼声已占上风，但是否早于预期仍有分歧，这在一定程度上限制了黄金的下跌空间。

技术面分析：

黄金日线收出带长下影线十字星阳线后跌势得到缓解，1185的支撑强劲为黄金带来局部反弹，5日线1193则构成较大阻力突破有较大难度，MACD快慢线围绕零轴运行增加宽幅整理；四小时图触及下行通道下轨后随即回升朝上轨运行，开始围绕大区间1180-1200波动。

阻力位：1195/1200
支撑位：1185/1180
交易方向：高空低多

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