5月15日金域亞洲午评：原油收跌限制黄金上涨空间

2015-05-15

基本面分析：

国际金价昨日震荡冲高，突破1220后一度上探至1227附近，未有效突破1226导致黄金回调整理。美国公布的初请数据如预期改善但4月生产者物价指数表现疲弱凸显消费端的增长放缓，美元指数受到打压连续三日收跌，调整进程也逐渐深入。4月作为二季度经济的关键月份，经济指标多数走弱对于美元的走势构成较大的不利影响，加之非美货币反弹，美元的走势显现疲弱。

原油价格昨日收跌1%至59.88美元/桶，美国经济放缓带来的石油需求前景的忧虑拖累油价反弹，而将于六月份召开的欧佩克会议不减产的预期得到体现对于油价走势带来小幅打压。另外欧洲央行行长德拉基表示会坚定实施既定的量化宽松政策，直至实现通胀的可持续回升，欧元受到影响有所回调，但总体反弹动力依然较强率。

技术面分析：

日线图上黄金收出三连阳，多头巩固了近阶段的上涨成果后反弹逐渐深入，下方支撑增强有利于黄金拓展上行空间，MACD红色动能柱放量后快慢线零轴上方偏离运行支持偏多走势；四小时图回调整理，布林带上轨1225构成较大阻力，围绕1210-1230进行的大区间运行得到维持。

阻力位：1225/1230
支撑位：1215/1210
交易方向：高空低多

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